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Misleading axes

Births rose 10.6% from 2023 to 2025, but on a bar chart whose axis starts at 220 thousand the 2025 bar is drawn 3.43 times as tall.

Every chart involves choices, and some choices change the message more than the data do. The most common one is where the vertical axis starts. On a bar chart, starting the axis above zero cuts off the bottom of every bar, and since the bars are read by their length, the remaining stubs exaggerate every difference. OpenStax lists it among the ways a chart can mislead and adds that, if the axis began at zero, the manipulation would be obvious.

Computing the illusion

Korea recorded 230.0 thousand births in 2023 and 254.3 thousand in 2025. The real ratio is 254.3 ÷ 230.0 ≈ 1.106, an increase of about 10.6%. Now start the axis at 220. The 2025 bar is drawn from 220 to 254.3, a length of 34.3, and the 2023 bar from 220 to 230.0, a length of 10.0. On the page the 2025 bar is 34.3 ÷ 10.0 = 3.43 times as tall. Start the axis at 225 and the drawn ratio becomes 29.3 ÷ 5.0 ≈ 5.86. The data have not changed at all; only the cut has.

The same two values, 230.0 and 254.3 thousand births. Left: axis from 0, bars in true proportion. Right: axis from 220, the 2025 bar looks 3.43 times as tall.

The general rule follows from that example. If the axis starts at b, a bar for value v is drawn with length v − b, so the drawn ratio of two bars is (big − b) ÷ (small − b). When b is 0 this equals the real ratio big ÷ small. As b climbs toward the smaller value, the denominator shrinks toward zero and the drawn ratio grows without limit.

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Korean births with the axis starting at 200 thousand. The panel compares the real ratio of the largest and smallest values with the ratio of the drawn heights. Press "Axis from 0" to put the bars back in proportion.

Are line graphs different?

A line graph is read by the position of its points and the slope between them, not by the length of anything, so it may start its axis above zero. A fertility rate that moves between 0.72 and 1.24 would be a nearly flat line on an axis from 0 to 5. Statisticians accept a non-zero line axis as long as it is clearly labelled. The cost is that the steepness then depends on the chosen range, so read the numbers on the axis before you judge how dramatic a change is.

Other ways to bend a picture

OpenStax lists more. Stretch the time axis and a volatile series looks calm; squeeze it and any growth looks explosive. Report a value in small units, such as won instead of billions of won, and every change looks large. Average daily data into quarters and the swings disappear. On a histogram, make one class wider than the rest and its larger area suggests a larger share. None of these needs a false number. The defence is the same each time: read the axes, the units and the intervals, and recompute the comparison yourself.

BackgroundIn 1954 Darrell Huff, an American writer and former magazine editor, published a short, funny book called How to Lie with Statistics. OpenStax notes that it has been through more than 25 printings and sold more than one and a half million copies. Huff collected real charts and headlines that misled, many of them with cut axes and swollen pictures, and showed how each trick worked. His aim was the reverse of the title: once you know how the tricks are done, they stop working on you, and you are less likely to fall into them by accident when you draw your own charts.
Truncated axisA vertical axis that starts above zero
Drawn ratio(big − b) ÷ (small − b) when the axis starts at b
Real ratiobig ÷ small
BarsMust start at zero
LinesMay start elsewhere if the axis is labelled
  1. Births 230.0 (2023) and 254.3 (2025), axis from 0. Ratio of bar heights, three decimals?
  2. Same values, axis from 220. Drawn ratio, two decimals?
  3. Same values, axis from 225. Drawn ratio, two decimals?
  4. Births 438.4 (2015) and 230.0 (2023) with the axis from 200. Drawn ratio, two decimals?
  5. US population 331.4 million (2020) and 151.3 million (1950), axis from 140. Drawn ratio, one decimal? (use 331.449281 and 151.325798)
  6. Which chart must start its vertical axis at zero?
    • Line graph of a fertility rate
    • Bar chart of births
    • Both
    • Neither
  7. A drawn ratio grows without limit when the axis start approaches...
    • Zero
    • The smaller value
    • The larger value
    • The mean
  8. A manager wants a volatile portfolio to look calm. Which trick does OpenStax describe?
    • Start the axis at zero
    • Use quarterly instead of daily data and stretch the time axis
    • Add a source
    • Use bars
  9. Why can a histogram with one extra-wide class mislead?
    • The bar is a different colour
    • Its larger area suggests a larger share
    • It has no axis
    • It must be a pie
  10. What did Huff hope readers of How to Lie with Statistics would do?
    • Learn to lie
    • Recognise misleading graphs and avoid making them
    • Stop using charts
    • Use only pies
Key points
  • Cutting a bar chart's axis exaggerates differences: drawn ratio = (big − b) ÷ (small − b).
  • Line graphs may start above zero if the axis is labelled; read the numbers before the slope.
  • Stretched time axes, tiny units and uneven classes mislead without any false number.
Sources for this course (9)
  • OpenStax, Introductory Statistics 2e by Barbara Illowsky and Susan Dean (, per the page notice on 2026-10-17): 2.2 histograms, frequency polygons and time series graphs, including the 100 soccer player heights, the books bought by 50 students, class width, convenient starting points, the square root guideline, relative frequency f/n (3 of 40 = 0.075) and the section "How NOT to Lie with Statistics" (Darrell Huff, pie charts, varying class widths, axes that do not start at zero) (openstax.org/books/introductory-statistics-2e/pages/2-2-histograms-frequency-polygons-and-time-series-graphs)
  • Korean births and total fertility rate 2015 to 2025: Ministry of Data and Statistics (국가데이터처, formerly Statistics Korea)
  • "2025년 출생 통계" press release, Table 1 (mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a10301010000&bid=204&list_no=446625, figures for calendar years 2015 to 2025)
  • TFR definition, 1970 value 4.53, 1983 value 2.06 and replacement level 2.10: e-나라지표 합계출산율 (index.go.kr/unify/idx-info.do?idxCd=5061)
  • US resident population 1950 to 2020 and the four regions in 2010 and 2020: US Census Bureau, Historical Population Change Data (1910-2020)
  • released April 26, 2021, counts as of April 1 of each census year (census.gov/data/tables/time-series/dec/popchange-data-text.html) and 2020 Census Apportionment Results press release (census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2021/2020-census-apportionment-results.html)
  • William Playfair, Commercial and Political Atlas (1786) and Statistical Breviary (1801): Encyclopedia.com "Statistical Graphics" (encyclopedia.com/social-sciences/encyclopedias-almanacs-transcripts-and-maps/statistical-graphics)
  • J. Sachs, BRANCH (branchcollective.org)
  • I. Spence, "William Playfair and the Psychology of Graphs" (2006).

Checked: 2026-10-17